March 17, 2008; Real Clear Politics
Three reasons why it may be wise to become bullish on Senator Clinton becoming the next U.S. President.
1) Senator Obama’s “problem” in regards to his long-time pastor is a real issue. Brian Ross’ report Thursday on Good Morning America, and more importantly the surfacing of the incendiary video(s), make this an explosive subject that will not go quietly away.
2) The very serious meltdown in the financial markets is likely to focus the country’s attention on the health, stability and future of the American economy. Fairly or unfairly, Senator Clinton will benefit from her association with Bill Clinton’s administration in the prosperous Nineties, and that perceived experience on the economy will stand in stark contrast to Senator Obama’s dearth of experience.
3) The mostly unnoticed switch of Puerto Rico from a caucus on June 7 to a primary on June 1, gives Hillary Clinton a very real opportunity to surpass Barack Obama in the popular vote count. If Senator Clinton can “win” the popular vote, this will provide undecided superdelegates ample rationale to go with the less risky general election option of Senator Clinton.
Currently on Intrade Senator Clinton’s odds to become the next president stand at 17.9%, down from a 2008 high of 47.5% on January 22. With Senator Obama unlikely to win another primary until May, it is time to be buying Hillary Clinton.